Inevitability Mr Anderson

So, the Irish people have had the good sense to vote against the Lisbon Treaty. Hurrah! Or at least it would be if their say actually mattered – which quite clearly it won’t.

Even before the final result was announced, numerous European politicians including José Manuel Barroso had made plain that the Lisbon Treaty was not dead and that ratification in all member states must continue.

Thus the Irish will discover in time that within the European Union there is no such thing as real choice. Either you subjugate yourself to the will of the Brussels bureaucracy or leave – and since all political parties in Ireland are in favour of remaining within the Union, in much the same way they were all in favour of the EU Constitution, then it is almost guaranteed that the Lisbon Treaty will be forced upon the Irish people eventually.

Some people still talk of creating a looser European Union of independent trading nations. They fail to realise that if the EU and its politicians are prepared to ignore the will of the French, Dutch and Irish voters in very specific referendums, then it is entirely unlikely they will suddenly feel the need to allow members to simply trade freely without any political baggage.

The EU is irreversibly set on the course of ever closer political union. Its elites will not listen to the people, whom they secretly despite for democratically voicing their doubts, and will plough on regardless – even in the face of popular adversity. How does anyone continue to believe that is democratic or favourable?

The Great Deception

Today in the Daily Telegraph, Bruno Waterfield confirms that the EU and the Irish Government have indeed been working on plans to implement the Lisbon Treaty even if the Irish people vote against the document in their referendum.

Since the Irish Government is not required to hold a referendum on an enlargement treaty, the remaining Lisbon protocols could easily be slipped past the Irish electorate when Croatia joins the European Union in 2009 or 2010.

This really is as much as to be expected. When faced with the thorny issue of ‘Europe’ even the usual pretence of democracy disappears out the window as national governments and ministers fall over one another to please their European masters and deny their own electorates a say on their future.

Equally unsurprisingly were yesterday’s events and the way in which this country’s political class and media had everyone looking the other way again when it could have mattered.

Last night in the House of Lords a coalition of Labour and Liberal Democrat Lords defeated a Conservative bid to force a Referendum by 280 to 218 votes, but most people were too busy focusing on the House of Commons vote on the Government’s amendments to its forty two day detention policy.

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A Wilted Clover

Whatever the result of the Irish Referendum on the Lisbon Treaty tomorrow, its final statistical outcome will matter very little.

While supporters of both the YES and NO camps would celebrate a victory for their respective side, the final reckoning is predestined – the Lisbon Treaty will become law in the twenty seven EU member states and there is nothing we or the Irish people can do to prevent it.

As we all well know, if the result tomorrow in Ireland is not the one that the European Union and its supporters want then they will simply ask the Irish people again, and again and again until they do receive the desired response. However, this is of course assuming that the EU would willingly tolerate the formality of another public referendum, which it may not.

A more likely scenario would seem to be that Irish and EU leaders will simply collude behind the backs of the Irish electorate at the next European Council and ratify the Lisbon Treaty (most of which has already been stealthily implemented) despite a NO vote.

This may well involve the Irish Government claiming that a few token concessions from the EU that will be offered up during ‘negotiation’ this time around (naturally only to be done away with in the next EU Treaty the Irish will sign) is enough to make another democratic consultation of the people unnecessary.

Either that, or all EU member states will agree to continue with the process of ratification without Ireland who would be allowed to join at a later stage if they so wish – which of course they will.

Therefore, the result of the Irish decision tomorrow is entirely irrelevant to the European Union. Its continuous drive towards ever closer union will rumble on undeterred and more and more of our powers, rights and freedoms will be willingly signed over to unelected Commissioners and Bureaucrats in Brussels by our own selfish, pampered and increasingly irrelevant representatives in Parliaments across the European continent.

Within a week our House of Lords will vote on whether there should be a Referendum on the Lisbon Treaty in Britain. It is highly likely that the Lords and thus Parliament will agree with the Government and decide that there is no need for the people to be consulted. In so doing they will consign to the past this country’s long and celebrated history of being an independent, democratic and free nation. How did it come to this?

Last Chance To Say No

On the 12th of June there will be one last chance for any of the peoples of the European Union to publicly say ‘no’ to the Lisbon ‘Reform’ Treaty which the elites of Europe have intolerantly forced upon us all.

Despite the original EU Constitution being rejected by the people in France and in the Netherlands back in 2005, the document has returned disguised as a series of amendments which the governments of the EU hope they can slip past their electorates as another supposedly harmless Treaty.

Yet, so fearful are the political classes of their people saying ‘no’ to the Constitution-in-disguise that they have actively colluded to deny referendums to the people this time around on an almost unprecedented scale. Only the Irish will have a chance to vote on the document due to clauses within their own constitution.

With just over a fortnight until polling day the pro-EU, pro-Lisbon Treaty camp seems confident of gaining a positive result from the referendum. In part this is because Irish big businesses, the media and all the major Irish political parties are uniformly in favour of the EU and a ‘yes’ vote.

However, those on the ground are suggesting that there may well be a repeat of the Irish Referendum on the Nice Treaty, where despite a ‘no’ vote being continually behind in the media’s opinion polls, on the day saw Ireland vote against the Treaty. Yet, as with Nice, even if Irish sense again prevails and the Lisbon Treaty is rejected then there is no guarantee that the Constitutional Lisbon Treaty will be put to rest.

For the leaders of Europe, bureaucrats and supporters of ever closer union, public opinion is seen not as a reason to change direction but as an irritating obstacle to be overcome. And they will come back again, and again, and again until they find the result they want – but if the Irish vote for freedom, independence and democracy in June, and say ‘no, not in our name’ then it will at least throw a small spanner in the EU works.